Bayesian Artificial Intelligence by Kevin B. Korb

By Kevin B. Korb

Up-to-date and multiplied, Bayesian man made Intelligence, moment variation presents a realistic and available creation to the most techniques, beginning, and purposes of Bayesian networks. It specializes in either the causal discovery of networks and Bayesian inference techniques. Adopting a causal interpretation of Bayesian networks, the authors speak about using Bayesian networks for causal modeling. in addition they draw on their lonesome utilized learn to demonstrate a number of purposes of the expertise. New to the second one variation New bankruptcy on Bayesian community classifiers New part on object-oriented Bayesian networks New part that addresses foundational issues of causal discovery and Markov blanket discovery New part that covers tools of comparing causal discovery courses Discussions of many universal modeling error New functions and case reports extra assurance at the makes use of of causal interventions to appreciate and cause with causal Bayesian networks Illustrated with genuine case stories, the second one version of this bestseller keeps to hide the foundation of Bayesian networks. It provides the weather of Bayesian community know-how, automatic causal discovery, and studying chances from info and indicates find out how to hire those applied sciences to advance probabilistic specialist platforms. internet ResourceThe book’s site at deals quite a few supplemental fabrics, together with instance Bayesian networks and information units. teachers can e mail the authors for pattern ideas to some of the difficulties within the textual content.

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Sample text

Suppose, for example, that we are offered a set of bets which has a guaranteed loss of $10. Should we take it? The Dutch book assumes that accepting the bet is irrational. But, if the one and only alternative available is another bet with an expected loss of $1,000, then it no longer seems so irrational. An implicit assumption of the Dutch book has always been that betting is voluntary and when all offered bets are turned down the expected utility is zero. The further implicit assumption pointed out by H´ajek’s argument is that there is always a shifty bookie hanging around ready to take advantage of us.

We shall ourselves present non-Bayesian methods for automating the learning of Bayesian networks from statistical data. We shall also present Bayesian methods for the same, together with some evidence of their superiority. The interpretation of the probabilities represented by Bayesian networks is open so long as the philosophy of probability is considered an open question. Indeed, much of the work presented here ultimately depends upon the probabilities being understood as physical probabilities, and in particular as propensities or probabilities determined by propensities.

10 Bayesian Artificial Intelligence, Second Edition Bibliographic notes An excellent source of information about different attempts to formalize reasoning about uncertainty — including certainty factors, non-monotonic logics, DempsterShafer calculus, as well as probability — is the anthology Readings in Uncertain Reasoning edited by Shafer and Pearl (1990). Three polemics against non-Bayesian approaches to uncertainty are those by Drew McDermott (1987), Peter Cheeseman (1988) and Kevin Korb (1995).

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